Poll

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No Poll Can Tell Biden What He Needs to Hear

“Will this be the thing that causes his voters to abandon him? How much will this hurt his numbers?” are…

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The Debate Hurt Biden, but the Real Shift Has Been Happening for Years

A 3-point move toward Trump in a new Times/Siena poll is not a fundamental change in the race, but it…

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Republicans Rally Behind Trump After Conviction, Times/Siena Poll Finds

President Biden continues to confront deeper doubts among Democrats than former President Donald J. Trump faces among Republicans — even…

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Outlier Poll Results Are Inevitable. They’re Also Sometimes Right.

The latest Times/Siena survey shows Trump up by six points among registered voters and three among likely voters.

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Introducing Our 2024 Poll Tracker

What do the polls say about the race for the White House? With less than five months to go, new…

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Methodology: How The Times Calculates 2024 Polling Averages

An average of surveys may sound straightforward, but even a simple approach faces a series of choices.

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I Was a Republican Partisan. It Altered the Way I Saw the World.

I’m having the strongest sense of déjà vu. In 2012, I was a Republican partisan. This was when I was…

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Battleground Polling Shows Ticket- Splitting Pattern

In four states where Biden trails among likely voters, Democratic Senate candidates are leading.

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Was Trump Benefiting From Being Out of the News?

His liabilities weren’t dominating the conversation the way they once did, perhaps helping his polling, but the trial could change…

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You Ask, We Answer: How The Times/Siena Poll Is Conducted

The New York Times/Siena College Poll has earned a reputation for accuracy and transparency. But as with any poll, there…

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