He has underperformed the polls in each of the first three contests.
Read More »Polls
Recent general-election polling has generally shown Donald Trump maintaining a slight lead over President Biden. Yet many of those polls…
Read More »Almost all the polling shows the same pattern. Could the coming campaign restore Democrats’ usual advantage?
Read More »A poll can be very close to the actual result but miss the key story line. We’ll try new question…
Read More »Genevieve Glatsky, a reporter for the Andes bureau, discussed the assassination of Fernando Villavicencio, a presidential candidate who exposed governmental…
Read More »Trying to learn from a strong midterm run as we start surveying the G.O.P. primary.
Read More »In the so-called invisible primary, there’s often a clear relationship between early polling and the eventual outcome.
Read More »The polls are surprisingly divided, but higher-quality surveys point to an answer.
Read More »How much did coronavirus deaths, redistricting and voter suppression matter in the last election?
Read More »The errant surveys spooked some candidates into spending more money than necessary, and diverted help from others who otherwise had…
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